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Saturday, January 28, 2012

2011-2012 Winter Ball Stats: Final Stats

Asdrubal Cabrera
Here are the final winter ball statistics for all Cleveland Indians players participating in fall/winter ball out in the Arizona Fall League, Colombia Winter League, Dominican Winter League, Panama Winter League, Venezuelan Winter League, Puerto Rico Winter League, and Australian Baseball League.

I have included all playoff stats for those players below that pitched in their respective league's playoff tournament (something MLB and MiLB do not include on their sites).

Stats are updated as of 1/27/2012.

BATTERS LGE G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG OPS E
Aguilar, Jesus AFL 16 59 15 20 7 0 3 9 11 18 0 .339 .458 .610 1.069 1
Aguilar, Jesus VWL 22 69 8 19 5 0 3 14 10 16 0 .275 .358 .478 .836 1
Aguilar, Jesus TOT 38 128 23 39 12 0 6 23 21 34 0 .305 .405 .539 .944 1
Battaglia, Ryan ABL 14 44 8 12 5 0 2 6 2 13 0 .273 .319 .523 .842 1
Cabrera, Asdrubal VWL 17 57 9 14 3 0 2 10 10 11 1 .246 .368 .404 .771 3
Campbell, Andrew ABL 26 93 15 28 5 1 0 8 13 16 3 .301 .387 .376 .763 0
Carrera, Ezequiel VWL 39 152 23 41 3 6 2 13 18 21 11 .270 .349 .408 .756 4
Diaz, Juan DWL 12 30 1 4 0 0 0 0 3 5 0 .133 .212 .133 .345 1
Fedroff, Tim AFL 3 11 4 4 2 0 0 2 2 1 1 .364 .462 .545 1.007 0
Hu, Chin-Lung ABL 28 119 19 33 6 2 3 14 8 18 3 .277 .328 .437 .765 9
Huffman, Chad AFL 17 70 6 15 6 0 1 11 10 13 0 .214 .313 .343 .655 1
Lopez, Jose VWL 58 220 27 64 12 0 6 32 13 19 1 .291 .335 .427 .762 2
Moncrief, Carlos AFL 8 23 4 4 1 0 0 0 5 8 0 .174 .367 .217 .584 2
Montero, Moises DWL 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0
Nilsson, Mitch ABL 14 45 4 9 3 0 1 5 7 9 0 .200 .308 .333 .641 4
Perez, Roberto AFL 16 53 13 12 1 0 4 11 13 10 0 .226 .382 .472 .854 0
Perez, Roberto PWL 6 12 2 2 1 0 0 0 7 4 0 .167 .474 .250 .724 0
Perez, Roberto TOT 22 65 15 14 2 0 4 11 20 14 0 .215 .402 .431 .833 0
Pie, Felix DWL 42 161 21 44 9 2 4 21 9 29 5 .273 .322 .429 .750 3
Reyes, Argenis DWL 39 135 12 327 0 06 10 18 2 .237 .295 .289 .583 5
Rodriguez, Ronny DWL 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0
Urshela, Giovanny COL 23 79 9 17 5 1 0 4 9 10 0 .215 .292 .304 .596 4
PITCHERS LGE W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO WHIP AVG
Berger, Eric VWL 1 1 2.84 10 0 0 6.1 9 2 2 0 2 7 2.67 1.74 .310
Berger, Eric DWL 1 0 0.00 5 0 0 3.2 1 0 0 0 2 5 NA 0.82 NA
Berger, Eric TOT 2 1 1.80 15 0 0 10.0 10 2 2 0 4 12 N/A 1.40 N/A
Bryson, Rob VWL 0 2 2.77 19 0 1 13.0 14 9 4 2 10 8 0.64 1.85 .280
Carmona, Fausto DWL 1 2 3.74 5 5 0 21.2 17 12 9 1 7 20 N/A 1.11 N/A
Colon, Joseph PWL 0 1 16.71 8 0 0 7.0 16 14 13 1 7 4 2.20 3.29 .432
De La Cruz, Kelvin DWL 0 0 16.20 6 0 0 1.2 3 3 3 0 4 4 0.00 4.20 .429
Espino, Paolo VWL 2 2 7.71 7 6 0 23.1 31 20 20 4 5 17 2.15 1.54 .323
Guilmet, Preston AFL 0 0 6.43 10 0 0 14.0 18 12 10 0 8 12 1.30 1.86 .327
Jimenez, Ubaldo DWL 0 1 11.57 1 1 0 2.1 3 3 3 0 2 4 2.00 2.14 .300
McFarland, T.J. AFL 3 0 3.18 8 7 0 28.1 30 12 10 1 13 22 2.24 1.52 .280
Murata, Toru PAN 2 1 2.72 8 8 0 46.1 37 14 14 2 9 31 NA 0.99 .222
Rondon, Hector VWL 1 0 5.19 5 0 0 8.2 6 5 5 0 7 6 3.50 1.50 .194
Salazar, Danny PAN 3 1 1.74 8 8 0 41.1 38 9 8 0 9 29 NA 1.14 .252
Soto, Giovanni PWL 1 2 3.95 13 0 0 13.2 8 8 6 0 12 12 4.40 1.46 .182
Sturdevant, Tyler AFL 0 0 3.00 10 0 0 12.0 11 4 4 1 4 13 1.11 1.25 .239
Tejeda, Robinson DWL 0 1 6.48 9 4 0 16.2 14 14 12 3 13 15 NA 1.62 NA
Wright, Steven PAN 3 0 1.40 8 8 0 32.1 20 5 5 1 12 14 NA 0.99 .182

Friday, January 27, 2012

Indians Sign Reliever Dan Wheeler

Dan Wheeler (Photo: MLB)
The Cleveland Indians announced yesterday afternoon that they signed reliever Dan Wheeler to a minor league deal. The 34-year old Wheeler is a 12-year veteran right-hander who has spent most of his career with the Tampa Bay Rays. He spent last season with the Boston Red Sox, going 2-2, with a 4.38 ERA, while striking out 39 batters and walking only eight in 49 1/3 innings pitched.

The move adds potential solid depth to an already stout bullpen, as Wheeler has proven to be a highly effective in his 12 seasons in many different roles. While he has closed some (43 saves in his career), his strength has always been against right-handed hitters. Righties have only hit .218 against him lifetime, while striking out nearly 386 batters against only 92 walks.

The issue for Wheeler may be the lack of slots available. At best, he'll be fighting for two spots, and it may only be one. He'll be going up against some of the brightest prospects in the Tribe's minor league organization, as Nick Hagadone, Chen Lee and Frank Hermann are all making major league noise. That said, Manny Acta may give players like Wheeler and Chris Ray a close look to add a veteran presence on the major league roster.

Overall, Wheeler is sporting a 3.88 ERA, with 553 strike outs in 623 innings pitched. He had a nice season for Boston last year, but his season was cut short with a sore forearm in early September. Wheeler declined arbitration from the Red Sox, which now seems to be an odd move, since it cost him $3 million in guaranteed money, leaving him with a minor league contract, and a non-roster invite to spring training with the Tribe.

While it's certainly not a move that's going to blow the doors off any Tribe fans, it's another subtle move to continue to add solid support to a team that should continue to contend in 2012. Prince Fielder this is not folks, but a nice little move nonetheless.

Thanks for all the well-wishers over the past few months. I'm feeling healthy again, and should be back in the swing over the next few weeks. Check out the IPI Winter Ball Recap, going up later today!

Thursday, January 26, 2012

Top 10 Reasons the Tribe still contends in 2012

Prince Fielder (Photo: AP)
Well, with the signing of Prince Fielder the Detroit Tigers certainly sent a shot across the bow to the Cleveland Indians for the 2012 season and beyond. But in reality that is all it was, a warning shot.

Yes, the Tigers are a major favorite to win the division now, but just ask the Boston Red Sox if throwing a bunch of money around in the offseason is any sort of guarantee for the postseason.

So while it does feel like a major punch to the gut, it does not in any way preclude the Indians from making the playoffs in the 2012 season.  Here are the Top 10 reasons the Indians can still be contenders this season:

1. Expanded playoffs.  As of this writing, Major League baseball is still debating whether to add a second Wild Card team in 2012 or 2013.  There is significant momentum towards the expansion happening in 2012.  Should it come to fruition this year, the Indians won’t even need to beat out the Tigers.  As long as the Tribe takes care of their own business, they can sneak into the playoffs while the Yankees, Red Sox, and Rays beat up on each other in the East and the Rangers and Angels do the same in the West.  At that point, anything is possible.

2. The Arizona Diamondbacks.  Going into the 2011 season, the Dbacks were an afterthought in the National League West.  The team was given no chance to contend.  Of course when the dust settled on the 2011 regular season, Arizona had won their division over the defending World Series champion San Francisco Giants and preseason favorite Colorado Rockies.  With the Fielder signing in Detroit nobody is giving anyone in the American League Central a shot at unseating the Tigers.  Who’s to say the Indians won’t become this season’s version of Arizona.

3. Ubaldo Jimenez.  For the first half of the 2010 season he was arguably one of the five best pitchers in the Major Leagues.  That sort of talent just does not go away, particularly when a player is still in his 20s.  He is still only 28, and he has dedicated this offseason to finding that old form.  He may not be Justin Verlander, but when right Jimenez is not far behind and better than anything else the Tigers can put out on the mound.

4. Justin Masterson.  If Jimenez is better than 4/5 of the Tiger starting rotation, it can be argued that Masterson is as well.  Coming off of a breakout season, Masterson is bound to improve upon his win/loss record with just a little more run support.  Even with a slight regression, 15-18 wins are well within the reach of the lanky right-hander.

5. The Bullpen Mafia.  Their closer has a self-proclaimed arm like a cannon.  That is some pure rage to throw at any late inning threat.  To get to Chris Perez, opposing offenses must go through the matchup nightmare that is Vinnie Pestano, Rafael Perez, Tony Sipp, Frank Herrmann, Joe Smith, and emerging family members down on the farm.  Games can get short rather quickly if these guys get a team where they want them.

6. Jason Kipnis.  In the brief time between his call-up and unfortunate injuries, Kipnis was a shooting star in the Tribe lineup.  What he showed was a tantalizing glimpse at the potential this second baseman poses.  The man is filled with grit and armed with a swing that makes the ball explode off the bat.  He should be a doubles machine.  Kipnis will quickly become a fan favorite, making all of Cleveland "Kipnisses".

7. Shin-Soo Choo.  Throw 2011 out the window, it was a season of bad luck and bad decisions.  To get a true feel of what to expect from the Indians’ right fielder, look to the previous two seasons.  In 2009 and 2010, Choo hit .300 with 20 home runs and 20 stolen bases.  In the post-steroid world of baseball, those are simply beautiful numbers.  Expect a return to form this season.

8. Grady Sizemore.  Yes Grady Sizemore.  Every year, the world of sports is witness to a feel good story of someone overcoming countless injuries to put together a season nobody thought was possible.  Isn’t it about time Cleveland had one of those stories?  It is already known what is possible when Sizemore can stay healthy, just look at what he did last season before the injury bug hit again.  His speed might be gone, but Grady can still hit for power.

9. Carlos Santana.  He is 25 years old and coming off an impressive first full season in the Major Leagues.  And he is only going to get better.  He already gets on base and hits for power.   Chances are he increases his run production, reduces his strikeouts and becomes an elite offensive weapon this season.

10. Asdrubal Cabrera.  On one hand it can be argued 2011 was a career year for the Tribe’s shortstop.  On the other hand, Cabrera is still only 26 years old and should still have his career in an ascending state.  He may never hit 25 homers again, but he is still one of the best hitting shortstops in the game and may only get better.

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Offseason Spotlight: Mike Rayl and Matt Packer

Mike Rayl (Photo: IPI)
I have to confess: I’m a sucker for left-handed pitchers.

It has nothing to do with any great disdain for right-handed pitchers or any real reason whatsoever other than the fact I have always loved watching a baseball game when a lefty is thrown on the hill. With the game so right-handed dominated, it is like watching the game through a mirror as everything is backwards.

I’m also a lefty and former pitcher myself, so that explains most of love affair with left-handed pitchers.

So with that in mind I was deeply saddened when the Indians traded away power lefty Drew Pomeranz last July in the Ubaldo Jimenez trade. But, thankfully, the Indians have some interesting left-handed pitchers in the system that are fascinating to watch develop. There is no lefty in the system even close to Pomeranz’s ability, but there are some good Major League quality lefty arms.

Two of those southpaws are Mike Rayl and Matt Packer.

Rayl, 23, started 25 combined games between Low-A Lake County and High-A Kinston last year and went 6-8 with a 3.42 ERA (123.2 IP, 114 H, 9 HR, 26 BB, 121 K). He does not have overpowering stuff, but he showed an improved fastball last season as his average was up to 88 MPH and he more consistently flashed 92 MPH. He also has a good feel for pitching and commands the ball well.

Rayl learned a lot last season and has taken that experience into his offseason workouts in preparation for this coming season.

“I tried to eat up as many innings as I could,” Rayl said in a recent interview for the IPI. “My goal was to try and get at least over a 100 innings and I got over that. I am still working on some pitches and with my consistency and keeping the ball down.”

Not much was changed with Rayl’s mechanics over the course of last season, but he did make some subtle changes to his delivery to make him more on line with his pitches.

“I worked mostly on just getting the ball out of my glove a lot quicker so I can get my arm up,” Rayl said. “I have a tendency to get my elbow down and throw high and away a lot to righties. That was my biggest problem and I have been working on it a lot so I can throw more strikes down in the zone.”

Rayl had added a sinker to his repertoire at the end of the 2010 season, but the pitch was quickly scrapped at the beginning of last season in order to have him concentrate on developing his fastball, curveball and changeup.

“At the beginning of the year the sinker was just a pitch that got lost,” Rayl said. “When I went to Lake County, pitching coach Jeff Harris and I decided to just scrap it for now and work with the three main pitches that I have. Ever since I let that go I stopped walking people and had better success, and I have not touched it since.”

With the 2012 season right around the corner, Rayl wants to add more natural movement to his fastball in order to make it a more effective pitch.

“I want to develop a more natural sinker,” Rayl said. “That’s my primary goal, and if I can add it to my repertoire I think it [will help me a lot]. I throw a four seamer and two seamer but the two seamer just kind of drifts away. If I can just get it to start middle away and then sink to the bottom half then it will be perfect and I can get a lot of swings.”

Matt Packer (Photo: IPI)
While Rayl was having a good season in the lower levels of the Indians’ farm system, the 24-year old Packer was having another solid season in the upper levels of the Indians system. In 27 starts for Double-A Akron he went 9-12 with a 4.31 ERA (169.1 IP, 175 H, 16 HR, 33 BB, 129 K).

“I think the biggest thing for me early in the year last season was I could command my offspeed stuff just fine, but I could not strike anybody out,” Packer said recently to the IPI. “So when I got into jams I could not get the big swing and miss when I needed it. They were putting balls in play and scoring those runs in scoring position which hurt me quite a bit.”

On the surface Packer’s numbers from last season look quite ordinary, but considering he got off to an awful start going 3-8 with a 5.71 ERA in his first 16 starts and then finished strong going 6-4 with a 2.78 ERA in 11 starts. His strong finish was just a byproduct of things starting to click for him and some small mechanical adjustments working out.

“Once you have a few good games you get the confidence and you get into a groove,” Packer said. “I worked with [Akron pitching coach] Tony Arnold and we changed a few things mechanically and that is what did it the most. I just got into a few bad habits and they are hard to break once you get into them. It is tough to explain, but I was not really getting tilt with my shoulders so everything was flattening out. When I get that tilt I can get that late action on my ball and get groundballs and swings and misses.”

As spring training draws nearer, a lot of people will focus in on the big upside young talents the Indians have stockpiled in the lower minors. I’ll be focusing in on them too, but I’ll also be checking out how Rayl, Packer and a host of other left-handed pitchers in the Indians’ system perform.

Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Five exciting prospects to watch in 2012

Francisco Lindor (Photo: IPI)
Editor's Note: This is the first posting from Jim Piascik here at the IPI.  He will be writing about all things Cleveland this season with a special focus on Double-A Akron.


Despite the fact that the Cleveland Indians’ top 4 prospects are either no longer prospects (Jason Kipnis and Lonnie Chisenhall) or with the Colorado Rockies (Alex White and Drew Pomeranz), there are still plenty of prospects for Tribe fans to be excited about in 2012.

As Baseball America notes in their 2012 Indians prospect rankings, most of “the Indians’ best prospects are years away from contributing” at the big league level. That simply means that if you want to see thrilling players in the Tribe’s minor league system, you should head more toward Lake County than Columbus.

Here are five Indians’ minor leaguers that you should be excited to go see in 2012 and where they should be playing on Opening Day.

Francisco Lindor, SS, Lake Country
When the Indians drafted Lindor eighth overall this June, Baseball America threw out these phrases: “tremendous work ethic,” “plays the game with ease and passion,” “scouts haven’t scoffed at Omar Vizquel comparisons” on defense, and that he was a “legitimate candidate for the No. 1 overall pick.” If that’s not exciting, I don’t know what is.

Lindor is only 18 and has plenty of growth ahead of him. He’s already been dubbed best hitter for average, best defensive infielder, and top prospect by Baseball America and now will have to go to work proving that on the field. If he’s as good as he’s advertised to be, he could force his way up the minor league ladder very quickly.

Nick Hagadone, LHP, Cleveland
Hagadone could open the season in Cleveland this year and he has the tools to be a high-leverage back-end arm for years to come. After having Tommy John surgery and using 2010 as a year to knock off the rust, Hagadone came out on fire in 2011. Between Akron and Columbus last year, Hagadone posted a 2.79 ERA, 2.87 FIP, 9.8 SO/9 and 2.8 BB/9. Not bad at all.

With the starting rotation unsettled after the Fausto Carmona news, the Indians will need the Bullpen Mafia to have another great year. In order for that to happen, they will need big contributions from Hagadone. He should start out in middle relief, but don’t be surprised if Hagadone forces his way into an 8th inning role sooner rather than later.

Chen-Chang Lee, RHP, Columbus
As much as I like Hagadone for the upcoming season, personally, I’m much more excited for Lee. Like Hagadone, Lee also pitched between Akron and Columbus last year, except he posted better stats (2.40 ERA, 2.24 FIP, 12.5 SO/9, 2.9 BB/9). Lee’s best tool is his slider, which Baseball America rated best in the organization.

In my mind, if you’re looking for someone to be this year’s Vinnie Pestano, I suggest you look at Lee. Pestano’s 2010 stats between Akron and Columbus (1.81 ERA, 1.91 FIP, 11.61 SO/9 and 2.41 BB/9) look very similar to Lee’s. They’re both pitchers who get a ton of strikeouts, don’t walk people and are players you can trust in the late innings. I would love to see Lee make the Opening Day roster, but he’ll likely start the season in Columbus.

Jesus Aguilar, 1B, Carolina
The breakout player in the minors for the Indians last year was definitely Aguilar. Between Lake County and Kinston, he posted a .284/.359/.506 slash line, .865 OPS, .390 wOBA, 23 HR and 82 RBI in 521 PA. Power is obviously his game and he showed that in the Arizona Fall League when he hit a home run over this  part of the fence. That’s no small feat.

There’s plenty for Aguilar to work on in 2012 (lowering his 24.2 K% would be a good start), but with that kind of power, Aguilar is a very valuable and exciting player for the Indians. He’s pretty far away from the majors, but if Aguilar continues to mash the ball and make adjustments, the first base job is wide open and his for the taking.

LeVon Washington, OF, Lake County
On the opposite end of Aguilar is Washington, who came into the 2011 with huge expectations and disappointed. The Tribe’s seventh-highest rated prospect according to Baseball America posted a paltry .218/.331/.315 slash line, .647 OPS, 4 HR, 20 RBI and 15 SB in 351 PA. Washington was particularly hurt by striking out in over one-fourth of his plate appearances (25.4%).

That doesn’t change that Washington should be an exciting player in 2012. He drew a ton of walks last year (14.0 BB%) and remains the best athlete in the organization according to Baseball America. As he adjusts to the pro game, the strikeouts should fall and his power should come out. Plus, you don’t want to bet against 2012 being #WASHTIME do you?

Overall, these five players aren't the only exciting prospects the Tribe has, but if you had to pick only five to see all year, they'd be the best choices. So get out and see these potential stars in 2012 so you can say you saw them before they got big.

If you want to follow Jim Piascik on Twitter he's @DarkestDiamond.

First base, First priority

Matt LaPorta (Photo - AP)
Editor's Note: This is the debut piece of another new writer on the IPI, Sean Mahon. He will be writing about various topics surrounding the Cleveland Indians for the site.

If you take a look around the AL Central, you’ll notice a household list of tenured first baseman: Paul Konerko and his 13 seasons with the White Sox, Justin Morneau and his nine with the Twins, Miguel Cabrera and his four with the Tigers with four more through 2015, and Eric Hosmer who seems bound to be the Royals’ first baseman for the next decade after an impressive rookie campaign.

Then there’s the Indians.  Since Jim Thome left first base vacant after the 2002 season, the spot has held casting calls on a seemingly annual basis. 

Ben Broussard had four solid seasons as the Tribe’s stopgap first baseman from ’03-’06.  That’s actually not half bad.  But Broussard, who would probably best be considered a very, very poor man’s Sean Casey, was only meant to hold the spot until the big fish arrived.  The fact of the matter is the Indians could never catch the fish and the notion that Broussard held stability at the position better than anyone else in the decade is telling.

Following Broussard came the underrated Stanford standout, Ryan Garko.  Fans truly liked Garko.  He came off well with the fans and even served as the club’s Indians fan blog ambassador during the 2007 playoffs. However, Garko never earned the love of the higher-ups in Cleveland or Eric Wedge.  The reason being was that he was not the prototypical (pre-2010) Mark Teixiera-like first baseman who could hit 40 homers, drive in 120 RBI, and hit .300.

Garko was a .285 hitting “grinder” who had served his four years at Stanford and defied expectations when he won the first base job in ’07.  He had about average power and you knew he gave it his all.  He was never a high OBP guy, but he held his own hovering close to a solid .350.  The other Garko issue was his GE sponsored refrigerator glove at first base; his UZR rating was oft-terrible, and a trial in the outfield felt like watching Fred Flinstone shag fly balls.  Garko, for as hard as he tried, just never had the hands of Donnie Baseball.  The sabermetricians could never “OK” Garko because he equated to a lowly WAR. 

In the wake of Garko's departure, it brought forth the rise of an offensive star bound first base prospect, Matt LaPorta.  (Just to stick to the storyline, Russell Branyan came back for another tour of duty in Cleveland… You know how that went.)  The Florida Gator star figured to hit about .290 with 30 HR’s and 100 RBI’s in his first big league season.  After all, while Michael Brantley was the scratch and peel prize in the Sabathia trade as the PTBNL, LaPorta was the grand lotto prize.  Sure, LaPorta would be just adequate at first base defensively, but it didn’t matter because his offensive benefits would far exceed the costs. 

However, as you’ve seen recently, that’s obviously not how the script worked out.  LaPorta, one of the nicest guys on the team and probably in the sport, would struggle from injuries and surgeries as well as mediocre performance.  He’s fallen down the depth charts in Cleveland as he was summoned to AAA in the final month of last season.

After half a decade of seeing the Michael Aubrey’s and Wes Hodges’ in the system, Tribe fans are in pursuit of a franchise caliber first baseman with a shelf life longer than three seasons. 

So where do we turn now?

It all goes back to the farm. The system has some interesting first base candidates in the minors. While none of them is projected to be the next Prince Fielder, some may become serviceable first baseman, much like Ben Broussard was for a few years.

While Matt LaPorta is still a candidate for the first base position, there are other viable options in the system.  They include (but are not limited to):

Beau Mills-The son of Astros’ manager, Brad Mills, was ranked as Tony’s #64 prospect coming into last season. He’ll probably be more highly regarded this season after hitting to the tune of .289/.347/.513 between Akron and Columbus in ’11.  However, Mills is 25 and has had a rather disappointing professional career to date.  After being drafted in the 1st round in 2007, Mills hasn’t put together the resume many were expecting. He is an average first baseman defensively, which the Indians are used to in recent years.  Mills will start ’11 in AAA and has a decent chance for a call up if the Indians don’t sign a first baseman and/or Matt LaPorta shows more of the same.  In fact, of the minor league options at this point, he’s probably the most likely to at least have a cameo in Cleveland.  Mills provides the power the Indians have been searching for since Thome left, however, though he improved his plate patience in ‘11, he still doesn’t offer the high OBP the team seems to be seeking.

Chad Huffman-The TCU standout has had some decent showing in the minor leagues over the years.  He’ll be 27 in 2012 and will be another depth option.  He almost fits the Oakland Athletics first baseman approach as he’s a solid contact hitter with an impressive OBP (.374 career) and mediocre power (a la Daric Barton, Scott Hatteberg, etc.).  Huffman can play both first base and the outfield, so he is an option somewhere on the field for the Indians.  Perhaps the best thing going for him right now is that he’s right handed, so he may find his way onto the roster for a period of time as a bench player of fill-in.  I could potentially see Huffman play the role of ’08 Michael Aubrey in playing a few dozen games if the Indians fail to solidify first base, or serve as a righty bench bat.

Jesus Aguilar-The 21-year old Aguilar played the majority of last season at A ball and he did some good things.  At 6’3 and 240+ lbs, he’s got first baseman written all over him (and potentially DH).  Aguilar is no Rod Carew at the plate, but he does provide some serious raw power.  He’s another guy like Huffman (and originally LaPorta) in that he can play first base and left field.  Power will be this kid’s calling card and if he can continue to slug ‘em, he may force his way into the picture sometime in the next few seasons.  He appears to be a slowly progressing prospect, but at age 21 he still has time to develop more patience and hitting ability.  Though his future may be at DH, the Tribe will check back in on this guy come 2014 thanks to his prolific power.

Andy LaRoche-LaRoche may be a diamond in the rough for Cleveland.  LaRoche’s career has paralleled another Andy’s career… Andy Marte.  LaRoche was tagged as the Dodgers’ third baseman of the future. He was a major piece in the three team trade that sent Manny Ramirez to LA and Jason Bay to Boston, where LaRoche landed in Pittsburgh. Five years later, and after a full tour with the Pirates, LaRoche has a fizzled prospect status.  Now, he plays the corner infield positions and will likely serve as depth to Hannahan and whomever the Indians name their first baseman.  LaRoche has a great minor league track record and perhaps another shot with a new club will bring out the best in him.  Though he is no elite defender, he is a guy that will be in the depth charts for Cleveland with a shot to takeover if he can impress in spring training and the minors.  Sometimes guys like LaRoche realize their potential with a change of scenery, a few years of struggles, and a new shot.  In this case, LaRoche has all three of those on his side. 

Chun-Hsiu Chen-Though signed out of Taiwan as a third baseman/pitcher, Chen was developed in the Tribe system to catch. However, due to the system's need for first basemen and his seemingly natural fit, many around the league believe Chen will end up at first base. Chen hit .262/.330/.451 at Akron last season and figures to start there again in 2012. The 23-year old's future potential may mirror that of Ryan Garko: The part catcher/part first baseman, with a bat strong enough to DH. Like Garko, Chen is better known for his gap power than his homer power. Chen started out 2011 quite hot, hitting .279 until the All-Star break where he slid to hit .236 in the season's final 46 games. The catching may catch up to him, no pun intended, and Chen may find himself as a viable first base option down the road.

It looks like the Indians may have to settle for guys more like Jordan Brown as they have a crop of fringe first base prospects.  The other option is to sign a Casey Kotchman for now and perhaps consider calling the Oakland A’s on a young guy with upside like Brandon Allen or the Red Sox on Lars Anderson.  This is because the system doesn’t seem to be flourishing with up and coming first basemen like it was just a few years ago with Jordan Brown, Beau Mills, and Matt LaPorta.  The seemingly obvious answer from fans is to plop Carlos Santana at first base and play Lou Marson as catcher--or perhaps rotate he and Chun-Hsiu Chen down the road.

For now, it still looks like Matt LaPorta has the most upside of any of the prospects in the Tribe system. . .

Monday, January 23, 2012

2012 Scouting Videos: Volume 12

LeVon Washington
Today we wrap up the 2012 Scouting Videos series with the 12th and final batch of Cleveland Indians 2012 scouting videos. Here are the the previously posted volumes:

Volume 1
Volume 2
Volume 3
Volume 4
Volume 5
Volume 6
Volume 7
Volume 8
Volume 9
Volume 10
Volume 11

I shot tons of video of over a 100 players this past season, and Michael Taylor edited down the collection of video for each player to make their 2012 videos for their upcoming 2012 scouting reports. In total we posted scouting videos for over 120 players that played in the Cleveland Indians minor league system in 2011.

Thanks again to Michael for the excellent work in condensing down all the video and putting it together for each player for one comprehensive video. Now that this video project is done, be on the lookout for a new in-season video update coming to the IPI. The video update will be a weekly interview with a player, coach or front office executive....it is something we are still putting together but should be a great addition to the site!



















Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Around the Farm: January 22

Julio Lugo
Around the Farm (ATF) takes a quick look at some of the daily performances by Indians prospects. This is a special winter ball version of ATF that recaps all the offseason action by Indians players in the Caribbean Leagues.  The positions listed below are where the player was playing in the game.

Here is the rundown of what Indians players in winter ball did yesterday. Looking at the schedules for the remaining winter ball teams and what Indians players are still playing, this will likely be the last Around the Farm of the offseason since it looks like all Indians players are now done for the offseason.

Australian Baseball League
  • Andrew Campbell (DH, Brisbane Bandits): 2-for-4, R, BB, K. A strong finish to a good showing for Campbell in the ABL as he reached base in 3 of his 5 plate appearances last night. He finishes his time out in Australia with a batting line of .301/.387/.376 in 26 games. He also had a solid 13-16 walk to strikeout ration in 93 total at bats.
  • Ryan Battaglia (C, Brisbane Bandits): 3-for-4, K, 2 PB.  Battaglia had 3 singles, something new for a change as 7 of his 9 hits coming into the game had gone for extra bases. He went 5-for-8 in his last 2 games, and in his last 10 games hit .306/.342/.583. He only played in 14 games in the ABL and had 44 at bats, but finished with a solid .273/.319/.523 batting line.
Dominican Republic Winter League
  • Julio Lugo (DH, Leones del Escogido): 3-for-4, 2 2B, 2 RBI, K. The deal is not yet official, but new Indians’ signing Julio Lugo had a good first night with the organization. I don’t have his playoff totals, but in 13 games with his Escogido team during the regular season he hit .163/.265/.326 with 2 HR and 8 RBI.
Venezuela Winter League
  • Jose Lopez (3B, Caribes de Anzoategui): 1-for-5, 2 K. Lopez was a much different player in the playoffs than he was in the regular season in Venezuela. The playoff totals are not available at the moment (he hit .203), but his numbers dropped significantly in the playoffs as compared to the regular season when he hit .310/.350/.470 in 43 games.
Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Sunday, January 22, 2012

Tribe Happenings: Carmona's future is in jeopardy

Carmona's future with the Indians is in
serious jeopardy. (Photo: AP) 
Some news, notes, and thoughts from my Indians notebook….

Identity crisis

By now everyone has heard the news from Thursday which caught the entire Indians’ organization and an entire fan base by surprise.

Indians right-handed pitcher Fausto Carmona had just finished up his stint pitching in winter ball in the Dominican Republic and was getting ready to renew his visa so he could come back to the United States for spring training in a few weeks, something he has done for years without incident. But on Thursday he was arrested by Dominican Republic authorities for using a false identity.

According to a report by ESPN’s Pedro Gomez, a comment made several weeks ago on a popular Santo Domingo radio broadcast by the mother of the real Carmona family is what led to the investigation. Apparently she said that Carmona had been paying the family hush money for years to use their identification, and after the Indians picked up his $7 million option this offseason he did not increase the payments to them. When the Dominican Republic government caught word of the comment on the show they immediately began an investigation and when he arrived at the US Consulate to renew his visa on Thursday they arrested him.

Carmona’s real identity is being reported as Roberto Hernandez Heredia and he is actually 31 years old, which is three years older than he was always believed to be. He has since been released from jail on bail for $13,000, but while the investigation is being completed he has been ordered not to leave the country and his ability to ever get a visa again to come to the United States is in great jeopardy.

Carmona’s future is on hold and there is a distinct possibility he has thrown his last pitch with the Cleveland Indians and in Major League Baseball for that matter. There is a chance his situation could be resolved at some point, but no matter what it looks like he is going to miss at least some time this season while the legal process plays out.

The Indians are gathering information and exploring all of their options on what to do in response to the Carmona situation. As things become clearer as to the timing of the legal proceedings and how long he may be unavailable, the Indians will likely at some point place him on the restricted list. This would allow them to still control his rights, but they would not have to pay him and he would not count against the 40-man roster. It is possible they could attempt to void his contract and let him go, but that appears unlikely.

The Indians signed Carmona back on December 28, 2000, just 21 days after what was thought to be his 17th birthday. Had he been listed at his real age of 20 years old at the time, neither the Indians nor any other Major League club may have bothered to sign him. Also, given his older age, as he progressed up through the minor leagues the Indians may not have been as patient with him.

Carmona broke onto the scene in 2003 at Low-A Lake County when he went 17-4 with a 2.06 ERA in 24 starts and became a top five prospect in the system. This was because of his performance and stuff at what was then perceived as a 19-year old pitcher. Had people known he was 22 years old at the time it would have been much less impressive.

Carmona’s situation brings to light an ever growing problem in the Latin American countries. Players and their families are so desperate to get away from rampant poverty in their countries that identities are often altered to help their chances as a professional baseball player. Every year players that sign professional contracts as alleged 16-17 year olds are voided as teams find through the verification process that they falsified their information, and even for the ones who clear inspection there is always a feeling of uncertainty for teams.

A lot of people may fault Carmona, but he is a product of a bad system. Major League Baseball is doing their best to police the problems with age and name falsification and the rampant use of steroids. On top of that players are often bribed by buscones (street agents) where they are promised food, shelter, training, and help with getting a signing bonus in exchange for a pre-arranged sum of money. There is only so much the league can do to control it.

Carmona is just another example of a system out of control. He is not the only one either as several players have been caught recently – such as Miami Marlins pitcher Leo Nunez a few months ago - and more will be caught in the future as there are probably several players in the big leagues and minor leagues currently playing with false identities.

Filling a rotation vacancy

With Carmona out of the mix for the foreseeable future, the Indians now have to make a decision on what to do with the vacancy they have in their starting rotation. When they had picked up his $7 million option a few months ago and acquired right-hander Derek Lowe in a trade with the Braves, they thought the rotation was set going into the season with those two along with Ubaldo Jimenez, Justin Masterson, and Josh Tomlin.

Even after trading for right-handed pitcher Kevin Slowey (more on him in a minute) they need to decide if they are satisfied with him and the rest of their internal options to replace Carmona’s spot in the rotation, or if they need to go out and sign a free agent or make another trade.

The pickings are very slim in free agency and on the trade market as anyone of real significance has already been signed or traded. There are some attractive free agent options out there, such as right-handers Roy Oswalt; however, considering the Indians have probably not had much dialogue with him this offseason they would be coming in very late in the game for their services.

One free agent that is out there that they may consider is right-hander Rich Harden. He will not cost a lot and is an injury risk, but when he is healthy he has proven to be an effective starter. The Indians had a lot of interest in him this past August in a trade, and is probably someone they have been in contact with throughout this offseason as starting pitching depth. He may be someone that could be signed to a very small guaranteed deal, or maybe even a minor league deal given his injury history.

The best solution for now is probably to use any available funds to get a bat for the lineup and to just go with their internal options for the rotation. All four of the candidates for the vacant fifth spot have a minor league option, so any one of Slowey, David Huff, Jeanmar Gomez or Zach McAllister can be sent to Triple-A to start the season and remain on hand there until a starting pitching need in Cleveland comes up.

Both Huff and Gomez showed flashes of brilliance last season in Cleveland, so the potential is there for either one to fill the fifth spot well, and were probably the frontrunners prior to the Slowey trade. McAllister could be a sleeper candidate this spring, and lefty Scott Barnes is someone who could be an option later in the year.

Slowey acquired

The Indians moved quickly on Friday and acquired right-handed pitcher Kevin Slowey from the Rockies in exchange for right-handed reliever Zach Putnam. The Indians maintain it was not in direct response to the Carmona situation and that they had been working on such a deal for Slowey all offseason, but the timing of the move was in no doubt catalyzed by the depth the rotation took after the Carmona news.

Slowey, 27, split last season between Triple-A Rochester, the Minnesota Twins and the disabled list. In 14 games (8 starts) with the Twins last season he went 0-8 with a 6.67 ERA (59.1 IP, 78 H, 5 BB, 34 K), and in seven starts at Rochester went 1-2 with a 3.55 ERA (38.0 IP, 44 H, 5 BB, 29 K). He has a career Major League record of 39-29 with a 4.66 ERA (532.2 IP, 606 H, 84 BB, 395 K) in five big league seasons. He won a career high 13 games with a career best 3.99 ERA in 27 starts with the Twins in 2010. The Twins had traded him to the Rockies back in early December.

Slowey is no doubt a solid depth starting option and the deal itself makes sense from the Indians’ perspective. He does not cost much as the Indians only have to pay him $1.5 million this year since the Rockies are picking up the other $1.25 million of his $2.75 million salary for 2012. He also has an option left and is under team control for another season as he is not eligible for free agency until after the 2013 season.

It may be a buy low opportunity with Slowey, but coming off a very bad season with some health concerns is not going to do a lot to inspire confidence with him in the starting rotation. He no doubt needs to prove he is healthy this spring and even more importantly that he can be effective. If both ring true, then yes, it will be a good deal for the team.

I’m just not a big fan of picking up back of the rotation pitchers like Slowey with average stuff and with some health concerns, especially when I feel that Gomez, Huff and McAllister were ready for an opportunity. Those three will still get strong consideration this spring, but with the Indians paying Slowey more than what they will pay the other three combined, who do you think has a clear leg up for the spot in the rotation?

I’m also sad to see Putnam go. I felt he was on the verge of a Vinnie Pestano-like breakout this year for the Indians and could impact the bullpen in some way this year like Pestano did last year. He was one of the Indians’ top three bullpen prospects, and after his trade and the recent losses of Josh Judy and Cory Burns in other moves the upper levels of the Indians’ farm system is starting to get thin with true bullpen prospects.

Unless you are high on Putnam like me, then you probably like the deal, and in the long run maybe I will too. It is hard to argue against the idea of picking up an inexpensive, proven Major League starter that you get two years of control of in a deal. I just hope sending away Putnam is not a decision the Indians regret in a few years.

Arbitration update

The Indians came to agreements this past week on one year deals with five of their seven arbitration eligible players this offseason. Third baseman Jack Hannahan ($1.135M), outfielder Shin-Soo Choo ($4.9M), right-handed starter Justin Masterson ($3.825M), right-handed closer Chris Perez ($4.5M), and right-handed reliever Joe Smith ($1.75M) all came to terms on Tuesday.

Shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera and left-handed reliever Rafael Perez are the only two that have yet to sign. Right now Cabrera is requesting $5.2 million and the Indians are offering $3.75 million, and Perez is requesting $2.4 million and the Indians are offering him $1.6 million. If the Indians are unable to come to an agreement on a one year deal with either player in the next week they will go to salary arbitration for the first time since 1991; however, they are expected to come to one year deals with both players and keep their salary arbitration streak alive.

For those unfamiliar with how salary arbitration works, the Indians are not in danger of losing Cabrera or Perez for the 2012 season. Both are under team control through the 2013 season; they just need to come to an agreement on what their salary should be. Also, while Hannahan, Choo, Masterson, Chris Perez, and Smith all signed one year deals they are still under control for the 2013 season as well as long as the Indians offer them arbitration next offseason (they will).

Martinez injured

Even with the loss of Carmona for an undetermined amount of time, the Indians actually saw their chances to win the AL Central actually improve this week. The Indians did not go out and make a big signing or trade, instead their chief rival for the division the Detroit Tigers took a big hit when catcher and first baseman Victor Martinez was lost for the year when he tore the ACL in his knee while working out this week.

Martinez was a key cog to a very good Tigers lineup last year as his bat really protected Miguel Cabrera. When Martinez was out of the lineup no one pitched to Cabrera, and the Tigers were 7-10 without him in the lineup last season. The Tigers will now look to add a player to the roster to help offset the loss of Martinez, but it is will be very hard to replace his bat.

The playing field between the Indians and Tigers has been leveled some, and if the Indians are able to pick up a bat for first base it could level it even more. Health is usually the greatest determinant to the success of a team year in and year out. The Indians were unlucky from a health standpoint last year after a good start, so maybe they are finally getting a few breaks.

Signings, singings, and more signings

The Indians were very busy this week once again with the transactions. In addition to the Slowey trade, they also signed outfielder Fred Lewis, right-handed reliever Jeremy Accardo, infielder Gregorio Petit, and outfielder Ryan Spilborghs to minor league deals with an invite to Major League spring training.

Spilborghs is probably the most interesting pickup as played with the Colorado Rockies for seven seasons and in 619 games owns a career big league batting average of .272 with 42 homers, 218 RBI, and .768 OPS. He can play all three outfield positions, is a right-handed hitter, and a career .305 hitter as a pinch-hitter. He may not be on the Major League roster now, but he may very well end up on the Indians 25-man roster when the season starts as the fourth outfielder.

Lewis has lots of Major League experience, and with some good speed, versatility, and pedigree as a former high profile prospect he could enter into the Indians outfield mix at some point this season. In 519 career Major League games he has hit .267 with 27 homers, 136 RBI, 53 stolen bases, and .761 OPS.

Accardo is relief pitching depth that has made 235 appearances at the big league level. In 247.1 innings he owns a career 4.22 ERA and 52 saves. Petit missed last season with a knee injury and is a good defender that is mostly just minor league infield depth.

Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).